Using the CRAP test
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For content related to mathematic concepts like statistics, chance, and probability.
I recently received an email from my employer, with a link and a request to fill out a short survey evaluating a new service available to our patients. I had a brief gap between patients, so I clicked and did the six questions. As I hit submit, it occurred to me that the survey seemed familiar. Hmmm. Looking back in my older emails, I found that I had received a similar request from the same group about 2 weeks earlier, with the same link. I contacted the person who had sent the second email.
We all tend to confuse probability with uncertainty. We shouldn’t.